Saturday, 06 December, 2025

Greg's blog ... When the crowd is always wrong

Economy, Finance, Trading, Markets, Stocks, Crypto

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10 myths I see and I fight against them

This topic will be quite short, as I want to say based on my experience where most of the fin-twits made mistakes based on my experience. People who are following me for more that 6-12Ms should really understand what I’m Read more…


Did we overextend the economical bounce? Technicalities of March 2020 bottom and what does it mean?

Before we’ll start to get some analysis we definitely need to setup some key points which I’m sticking for years to understand later charts and discussions : First of all I don’t want to say the same things I told Read more…


We are entering in the third junction – 1Q21 – sitrep report

This market had already one possibility for a total reversal, that was about June 2020. I was writing about that in the previous report, but intervention has arrived, Central Banks scared of problems started buying everything and things above everything Read more…


Inflation in stagflation and inflation in deflation. Same term and two different meanings.

The more we’re approaching to panic the more we have fight about interpretation of inflation. Despite the fact I wrote about that in my previous article here : I think there is a need to clarify differences. I encourage to Read more…


Why I view this cycle as deflationary, not inflationary.

There are plenty of discussions about which type of bust is approaching, so far we had 10Ys of money printing aka QE, but inflation is barely up, except asset inflation what is typical in deflationary environment especially when bond prices Read more…


We are entering in the second junction … 2Q20 sit-rep

After initial drop, which surprised lots of people, we are entering in another junction or uncharted waters. You can cheat SP500, you can boost NASDAQ, but quite hard to cheat the key index which is not susceptible for manipulation = Read more…


1929 vs 2020 – my view

Plenty of discussion about V-Shape recovery, and how we’re going to avoid the depression, so before we start looking for a difference between 1929 vs 2020, how I see it, let’s define some basics : The trigger – can be Read more…


Depressed Millenialls looking for socialism – probably lost generation

There are plenty discussions around the world about different generations. All know we have baby boomers who are just about to retire and everybody knows Millennials (Z – generation – I do not split Millennials vs Z-Gen. For me these Read more…


Economy cycle sit-rep 1Q20 – dead cat bounce trigger seems to be released

I think it’s time to move back again to 26thJan18 … And analyse the cycle peak, let’s see how it looks from the past time. I’ve been using my observation that in the full cycle you’ll receive just 2 significant Read more…


Deflationary correction, inflationary correction, hope correction up and bust.

If you’re going to investigate how economy moves and what it drives you’re going to see each time 2 big corrections in the full recovery cycle. The first one is called “deflationary” one, the second is called “inflationary” one. I’d Read more…