Saturday, 06 December, 2025

Greg's blog ... When the crowd is always wrong

Economy, Finance, Trading, Markets, Stocks, Crypto

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1999 of the current cycle. Which year it probably was? Technical analysis.

We hear all the time about 1999 repeat, but today let’s analyze this magical year and we’re going to try to judge which year in current cycle could be this magical 1999. Based on my 5 indicators : US03MY, US10Y/3M, Read more…


Why in 2008 we did not enter into a bigger crisis – technical analysis of this moment

Technical charts first – events (which you can’t predict) to confirm those charts will arrive later, so stop predicting events and start analysing charts That’s my key motto. Today we’re going to see why 2008 did not push global economy Read more…


Mastering technical turn of the market

In this topic I’d like to share my personal view, how to identify big turns on the economy and the market. This cycle is super weird, but I’ve observed same behavior from key assets and I still try to master Read more…


Is Japan entering a sovereign debt crisis?

It’s time to ask this question for the first time. Is Japan done? In reality I raised the question about it in 2020, where I claimed, BoJ lost the game, they just don’t know about it yet. Japan is really Read more…


The crossroad – market needs to decide what to do as it is heavily cracked.

As market turns down crashing from 1929-2000 SPX trend a moment later when SPX/GOLD and DJI/GOLD and even NDQ/GOLD rejected/broken the trends, it’s time to ask a question where are now. Before we’ll answer this question, we need to look Read more…


Cycle ending when SPX/GOLD starts consolidation process

If you follow me long enough, you probably got my idea that 2018 is when cycle came to an end. Cycle end of course doesn’t mean stock market going bustsm but stock market going bust once SPX/GOLD formation got broken. Read more…


Gold is approaching to a massive 50Y momentum break. Can we predict the price of gold based on technical charts? We’ll try.

Once again I’d like to remind you a main thesis that gold plays the game when big cycles are about to change. Gold plays the same main role when cycle flips from secular inflation to secular disinflation (through secular stagflation) Read more…


$$$ breaking, rest of the currencies are tanking. Yuan on the watch

I must admit MMT was never on my bingo card. Post 2020 crash, I was expecting some kind of dead-cat bounce, some retests to take everything down, but suddenly MMT came in and changed the whole view also taking yield-curve Read more…


What’s going to happen with this inflationary spike? Spike or not spike?

Post 2020 our economy has received enormous amount of weird monetary tools, mostly because regular QE wasn’t enough to put us out from economic depression that time. So flood of direct stimulus checks, more QE, BTFP later and probably way Read more…


Geopolitical US-Russia clash

Since years we are blaming Americans for bombing, striking innocent nations, often saying that the business of the USA is war. You have to live in another world or be a total economical and geopolitical ignorant if you really have Read more…